«The authorities receive political dividends»
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Photo: premier.gov.ru
Prime again deceived us all. Dmitry Medvedev warned that the government decided to replace the second indexation of pensions in 2016 a one-time payment of 5 000 rubles. This handout labor veterans should receive in January 2017, and it will be five thousand. In total it will take more than 200 billion rubles, according to the calculations of the Prime Minister
This will find the money if the Ministry of Finance -. It second. Federal budget revenues this year, even under the most adverse circumstances, reach at least 12 trillion rubles. Therefore, 200 billion can be found.
What is more important. Namely, to answer the question: what is best for a particular pensioner: get maybe even the New Year (January retirement sometimes give ahead of time) an additional 5 thousand rubles from the government or “as expected”, as indexed pension, beginning in August.?
It is necessary to be considered. Each year the state budget laid funds for the indexation of pensions, to somehow compensate for inflation. It has always been done twice a year: on February 1 and August 1 (however, social pensions were increased April 1)
But the crisis that is not going anywhere, has made some changes.. Medvedev is not the first time is justified: “There’s no money, and you are holding.” Recall that the February 1 pensions have increased by 4%, despite the fact that the accumulated inflation for 2015 reached, according to estimates from Rosstat, 12.9%. Then August 1 occupational pensions the government had to be indexed by another 8,9%.
And that’s the minimum. It’s clear that the rise in prices in the country is actually sharply ahead of official data. For example, even in calculations to Rosstat, the prices only on products from August 2014 to August 2012th risen by more than 31%. And this despite the fact that the average Russian family spends on food 50% of their monthly expenses.
In other words, pensioners and so do not pay extra. And then we decided to hold them all on a starvation diet.
Of course, there need concrete calculations. Did. Now the average pension in Russia reached 12.495 rubles a month. If the government is required by law on the budget for 2016, indexed pensions by almost 9% from August 1, the average labor veteran would receive a month from August 1, more than 1.1 thousand. Rubles more. That is to say, by 1 January next year, he would get rubles to 500 rubles more than he promised Medvedev.
And it’s not quite have averaged figures. In Moscow, the city has a pension supplements. And so they are among the highest in the country. And here exactly pensioner loses when, instead of indexing the government gets off lump sum in January next year. . Even for the same 500 rubles
In many regions, it is not a secret, people get very very meager pensions:. 6-7 thousand One can not die of hunger, it is not clear to me. Apparently, many of them come to the rescue gardens. 5 thousand rubles January compensate for this kind of pensioners -. A lot. This is more than the monthly payment in this year two times.
But the problem because in the other. If pensions are not indexed, their purchasing power will only fall. And not some one-off handouts will not help.
A prize of “poor” pensioners will be minimal, and most importantly, the short-term.
The experts’ MK »
Paul Segal, first vice-president “supports Russia» : «One-time payments to pensioners, which will be used instead of the planned indexation is not beneficial to those pensioners who have high pension and profitable least protected strata, which payments are minimal.
From a political point of view, governments receive certain dividends, as this information serves as an alternative to cancellation on the basis of indexation of the year, had a positive impact on the mood of the electorate in an election cycle. In the win-win situation will be retired regions, whose pensions are much more modest »
Razuvaev Alexander, director of analytical department Alpari :.« In the current situation of pension indexing capabilities of the Russian authorities is limited. The privatization of the leading companies in question, the oil remains cheap, capital markets are largely closed due to sanctions.
However, in our view, a good step would be accelerated indexation of pensions. On it could be sent as a continuing financial reserves and, within reasonable limits, the Central Bank loans. And it is not only in the fact that Russia under the constitution – the welfare state. Indexation of pensions – is to increase domestic demand and return to growth of the Russian economy. In addition to domestic demand elsewhere to improve the economy there. At the same time, the government’s economic policy can be reviewed after the elections. So, the government plans for pension benefits are subject to change. »
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