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The day before in Moscow completed its work Gaidar Forum – the main platform for discussions between domestic liberals. They marveled low oil prices, decided to sequester the budget, predicted the banking crisis. There was a place personal themes: the head of Russian Railways Vladimir Yakunin decided to donate the post of head of Russian Railways, and chief of “Lukoil” Alekperov told about his will. These and other developments in the online article “BUSINESS Online».
1. DMITRY MEDVEDEV: “depreciation words and promises WORSE ruble devaluation»
Traditionally, the plenary discussion Gaidar Forum The Prime Minister of Dmitry Medvedev . However, this area is clearly not he used to hear someone else’s opinion, and to tell the position of power. And since I came to the forum and Western experts, the prime minister could not assure you that Russia will not close from the world. “We have come a long way from the ruins of the Soviet economy to a major economy of the Western type. It would be a terrible mistake to go back in time, although many advised us this, “- Medvedev said confidently. He also promised that the country will not give up the free convertibility of the ruble, “guzzle” reserves and limit the freedom of entrepreneurship. It is now customary sanctions, according to the prime minister to come and go, but the business relationships remain.
However, the current economic situation was not a surprise to the government, it turns out, waiting for her and understood a year ago. But for some reason did not do anything. Only here to talk about that Medvedev did not, but admitted that “oil was slightly more difficult than we expected.” “So sometimes” – invented strange excuse Prime Minister and added that the authorities can now make the right decisions. Meanwhile, oil prices are still obviously tend to decline, dragging and the ruble.
«raw material economy – in the past. Now we are going to build a new model and work on the trust of citizens, because the devaluation of words and promises worse devaluation “- threw a nice phrase Medvedev, who now may become airborne.
2. ANTON Silvanus verbal sequester BUDGET
Oil prices came as a surprise, apparently, not only for Medvedev, but also for the entire government, as evidenced by the speech of the Minister of Finance Anton Siluanova on the first day of the forum. The official, who so zealously represent and defend in all instances budget cut at a price of $ 100 per barrel, suddenly said that the moment of truth – Russia has received less $ 180 billion. due to lower the cost of black gold. “Now we are hostages that were performed before the soft fiscal policy. We – a country that depends on market prices for oil, gas, the resources that we sell. If we had until the last moment to 70 percent in the export share of oil and gas, now the figure is lowered down to the level of 47 – 50 percent. We are moving away from oil and gas dependence, peel with a so-called needle “- and in this phenomenon Siluanov found a positive thing.
The solution minister sees only reducing costs, especially since even at the price of $ 50 per barrel 2015 budget will miss 3 trillion. rubles. “We need to adjust our capacity. The state can not spend spending as much as it was during the growth of the economy, forecast, more percent, with the price of oil in the $ 100 per barrel. We need to adjust our spending “, – concluded the Minister of Finance. Therefore, the government is about to cut all budgeted costs by 10%. Untouchables remain only defense spending. Siluanova supported by the head of Sberbank German Gref , which also sees no other option but to cut costs and improve the efficiency of those that remain.
3. YAKUNIN criticized the position Siluanova
President of the Russian Railways Vladimir Yakunin was the real hero of the second day, so we have devoted to it for two points in the list of important announcements and events Gaidar Forum. Head of state corporation was set up explicitly critical: first, was dissatisfied with the wording of questions discussion, and then outlined the main methodological error in Russia – the lack of self-criticism. Yakunin said that none of the power-holders did not recognize the fallacy of statements about the 2008 crisis. “We do not know how to be self-critical and critical – he pressed the word” not able “- but we are taught to be very politically correct. Economic and political analysis of political correctness – is the biggest danger that exists, because it is written off by anything: incapacity, incompetence, lack of training, and sometimes, maybe something worse ».
Especially irritated chapter Railways reckless desire Treasury to cut costs. The statements Siluanova Yakunin saw a direct threat to the industry – namely, high speed line. “We were able to prove the need to maintain high-speed project, the eastern site. However, I hear the words uttered by the Minister of Finance, who says that there is only one tool: cuts in public spending. He does not say what costs should be reduced. But just by reducing salaries to state or administrative unit costs a lot of money you will not find “- angry head of Russian Railways. Indeed, the project SCM, which was originally planned in 2018 to bring to Kazan, is currently in a slow state, and “High-Speed Line” rarely indulge some good news, so to speak, from the fields. “If you still have an idea to reduce the cost to development, modernization and innovation, I think we will see a further worsening of the economic and political situation in the country&# 8221; – Yakunin indignation knew no bounds.
4. YAKUNIN willing to sacrifice Railways FOR SECRETS their income
On the same day Yakunin in an interview, “Russia 24″ troubled requirement to disclose revenues. He made a bold statement that will make or break a choice: to remain in the civil service or go into private business. “My position: it is illegal interference in my personal life, in my information. There are two options: either I obey, or say that I do not like, I am writing an application and go into private business, “- the head of the Russian Railways was emphatic.
At the same time Yakunin said that everyone in the company and without that is transparent: his salary Board of Directors establishes and approves the budget of the Government Railways. “But I can not stand when delve into someone else’s underwear. Objective social control have replaced some digging in lingerie unmet characters “- indignant top manager. Moreover, Yakunin wondered why all the same in relation to his family does not work law on the protection of privacy, and indeed, the essence of the absurd law on disclosure of income. “Show that the state is in control? Since it is so in control. We – a natural monopoly, we live on the basis of the decisions taken in the State, respectively, earn as much as allows us to state, “- he said.
However, Yakunin and complained before, but that’s about his possible resignation spoke for the first time.
5. GERMAN GREF predicting large-scale crisis in the banking sector
The Chairman of the Board of Sberbank German Gref said that the average price of oil at a level $ 43 – 45 per barrel is inevitable “scale” the banking crisis. “It is obvious that the banking crisis will be bigger. It is obvious that at this price, at today’s price of 43 – 45 average – how many banks will survive this amount to the reserves? “- Gref said reporters on the sidelines. Most of these reserves, according to his calculations, it will take at least 3 trillion. rubles plus to the already existing.
In addition, the top manager appreciates the action of the Central Bank in December 2014. “They acted rationally as possible and that caused a huge fire on criticism. Nevertheless, we understand that will make the Central Bank, we understand that, perhaps, the rates will fall, “- he explained. But he condemned the depositors to place deposits at rates 19 – 20% and above, comparing them with the players at the casino. “This key rate at 17 percent, as of now, it will last a month, two, three. And we are taking deposits for a year or two or three. Therefore, those who are now placing deposits by 19 – 20 percent and above – these are people who are playing in the casino. This is the same as that in the MMM put, the question is how reliable financial institutions “, – Gref said.
At the same Savings Bank, it is worth noting rates on deposits does not exceed 11.52% up to 13% offered rate on certificates. Nevertheless, the top manager relies on the reliability of the credit institution.
6. Minnikhanov demand from the feds decisively
President of Tatarstan Minnikhanov asked the federal authorities to rush to adopt anti-crisis solutions. “Today is a great anxiety because of what happened last year, – he said. – I want Sergei Ivanovich ( Naryshkin – approx. Aut. ) to address you. I industrialists met three days ago, banks collected. Basically, everything stopped. Unless effective measures are taken … “Comment on this occasion of the head of the republic told” Business Online »could not be obtained. But turned out to be more talkative RT Minister of Economy Artem Zdunov . “There must be concrete steps! Already half-January last! We are concerned about the situation, because a lot of things that are made, do not depend on us. The main thing is not to turn to large infrastructure projects, because it affects the activity of our industrial production. Second – expensive loans. We buy a lot of foreign equipment and technology. Very expensive loans, government support is needed here, “- he replied to the question of our correspondent about what is waiting for decisions republic. At the same time Zdunov explained that this does not mean that Tatarstan required to reduce the key rate of the Central Bank. “It can be subsidized, that is, in any case, must be some kind of support: or decline, but these are questions of monetary policy, or sudsidirovanie. Accordingly, the management of the NWF “- he added.
With regard to major infrastructure projects, the Minister under them meant not only high-speed rail. “There is a very large infrastructure constraints, we build businesses attract labor, equipment delivery. We must all take out, to make deliveries. This also applies to the railway. We now cluster development, and so we need to remove infrastructure constraints to shoot in clusters. This is exactly impossible to stop. Otherwise it will stop the economy “- fears Zdunov.
However, according to Minister of Economy, while the federal government is slow in the country are already working in different areas, in particular by creating industrial parks, new jobs. Successes and far-reaching plans of Tatarstan during the debate and he said Minnikhanov. “Last year, the republic has GRP 1 trillion 630 billion rubles, the investment in fixed assets – 42 billion. Although the pace of gross domestic product is not like we want – 1.3 percent. But I believe that we have good prospects for further growth given the fact that we have a good program of modernization and construction of new facilities in the petrochemical complex “- he boasted. He further reminded of the construction of a complex for deep processing of oil, a plant for production of mineral fertilizers, cooperation with KAMAZ and work in the engineering industry. “The subject should be vitally interested in the development of the economy – said Minnikhanov, clearly set an example of Tatarstan. – On the basis of the platform that we have, as our capacity gas and petrochemical, automotive complex, aircraft, helicopters, other businesses, we are seriously looking for new ways. ” And these new ways of RT President considers SEZ “Alabuga” and Innopolis. Last, according to Minnikhanov, will fill the gap Russian software products.
7. Double the number of foreign participants FORUM
Traditionally, the organizers of these forums love to brag about achievements in figures. So, this year Gaidar Forum accredited record number of Russian and foreign journalists, their number exceeded 600 people.
It is interesting that doubled the number of foreign participants – more than 500 people. For obvious reasons, there was no officials of the European Union. Particularly regretted the chairman of the State Duma Sergei Naryshkin . “Unfortunately, the current Gaidar Forum was unable to attend a number of our colleagues from the US Government and the European Union – said the speaker. – It is, as you know, the manifestation of the policy attempts to isolate Russia. Attempts, it is clear from the legal point of view, useless and doomed to failure from the outset. ” However, interest in the Gaidar Forum in the West is obvious, as eloquently shows the number of foreign visitors, sure Naryshkin.
8. CENTRAL BANK OF MONETARY refused to help mortgage holders
Due to the sharp devaluation of the ruble in December 2014 in the community for a general panic joined by desperate cries of those who took their time currency mortgages. However, until now the authorities have refused to openly discuss the topic. Nevertheless, the Bank of Russia in the face of the first deputy chairman of the Xenia Yudayeva at the Gaidar Forum still asked an awkward question. “I do not really understand why it should be a central bank,” – she wondered. According to her, the unfortunate borrowers, the number of which does not exceed 2% of the mortgage, is guided by the recently adopted law on personal bankruptcy or to contact the Financial Ombudsman.
It is interesting that the very next day it was reported that that the Central Bank is still the issue of currency mortgages rose and the regulator is already developing recommendations for banks to restructure foreign currency mortgages. This was told at a meeting of the ad hoc working group in the State Duma and. o. Director of the Department of Banking Regulation Bank Alexander Zhdanov .
Since the views of the staff of Bank of Russia were opposed, the State Duma decided not to delay: MPs from the “Just Russia” has already introduced a bill requiring banks to restructure foreign currency loans of citizens in the ruble.
9. Alekperov reveal the secret of his will
The main news of the third day of the forum was the revelation of the president of “Lukoil» Alekperov. He admitted that he had made a will, according to which it stake in the company after his death will come under the control of the board of directors is specially created fund, his direct heirs to dispose of the shares will not. “I created a foundation that aims to develop social projects, which is saturated with large funds. These funds will be reserved my testament to the many, many years. Plus stake, which belongs to me, do not go to my heirs – they have no right to dispose of them, “- he said. Thus Alekperov plans to assure the stability of shareholders in “Lukoil” and give him a century.
However, Alekperov is the only son of Yusuf, whose father sent to the Siberian town of Kogalym. It was there, says the head of “Lukoil”, his Son, learn from and gain experience to go up the career ladder from the bottom, as he did Alekperov, Sr., and his father and grandfather. “My goal today – to educate his son, give opportunity to gain experience. I hope that in two or three years it will become a good specialist in the company and begin your career. I could not have it today, young professionals, to deliver to a close. Career development, he also along with all must pass “, – explained his move Alekperov senior.
10. “Party girl” Gaidar Forum AT 180 THOUSAND. Rubles
In social networks walks provocative announcement that the after-party at the Gaidar Forum “with the most famous people” need “party girl.” “Payment for three nights – 180 thousand rubles, from 20:00 to 01:00, including two hours on” magic “- said in the recording. Check the accuracy of the ad correspondent of “BUSINESS ONLINE” was not possible.
Photo: gaidarforum.ru, prav.tatarstan.ru. Video: gaidarforum.ru
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