01.01.2015 17:57
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Thursday, January 1, 2015
Stanislav Tarasov. Russia and Turkey are changing the balance of power in the Middle East – a REGNUM
Russian President Vladimir Putin congratulated his New Year Turkish counterpart Recep Tayyip Erdogan. The Head of State “expressed the hope that large-scale projects of the two countries will develop faster.” According to the press service of the Kremlin, Putin believes departed in 2014 the beginning of a new phase “in the development of Russian-Turkish relations exclusively on the increase,” attaches great importance to be held in early December 2014 in Ankara meeting of the Russian-Turkish High Level Cooperation Council, on which were reached “an agreement to enable countries to develop intensive cooperation in a number of spheres and directions.” First of all, it is the turn of the pipeline “South Stream” in the direction of Turkey, which dramatically changes the vector of Russian-Turkish cooperation in the energy sector. Moscow also regards Ankara’s refusal to join the anti-Russian sanctions as a demonstration R 20;of its independence in foreign policy,” which would “co-ordinate efforts in the international arena».
Builds a new geopolitical context of relations between the two countries. The Minister of Energy and Natural Resources Taner Yildiz said that relations with Russia are based on the principle of “business – a separate policy – separately.” Despite the existence of serious differences on the Syrian settlement and a number of other regional issues, the parties are to expand trade and economic cooperation. Russia and Turkey have gained solid experience of cooperation in various fields. However, in the minds of most members of the expert community both in the West and in Russia the prevailing view that Turkey has positioned itself as a regional energy hub, which competes with Russia, and the project “South Stream” is set as an alternative to Nabucco. Moreover, when in the higher echelons of power in Russia began to occur “leaks” about the translation of “South Stream” to “Turkish rails”, many in the West s aw this as “a bluff Kremlin”, which allegedly trying to identify the risks of failure of Europe from alternative gas route bypassing Ukraine. Brussels did not believe that Moscow would be to increase the regional status of Ankara, to form a new factor in its European and Middle Eastern politics. The EU continues to claim that relies on the Trans-Anatolian gas pipeline (TANAP), but beware accelerate the process of negotiations on Turkey’s accession to its ranks, which could, in principle, to break the combination of Russia.
Now Moscow declines share the responsibility for energy security in Brussels and Ankara strengthens confidence as the negotiations with the EU and with other players. No accident experts are already talking about the possibility of the emergence of a new position of Turkey on Syria, the creation of the Russian-Turkish alliance capable along with US international coalition to combat “Islamic state of Iran and the Levant,” a major influence through its consolidated opinion on the political processes in the region of the Middle East. This alliance is still in the stage of creation, but now it shows the mechanism of how politics works in the second universal law of dialectics – the amount of the transition to a new quality with the potency of birth geopolitical synergy.
In his New Year’s speech, German Chancellor Angela Merkel, stating the desire to “maintain security in Europe together with Russia, not against Russia”, has warned the Old World from the possible split, indicating Moscow is “very strong influence on Hungary, Turkey and Serbia.” Before our eyes, the race begins integration projects: the head of the Israeli Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman proposes to create an alliance in the Middle East between Israel and the “moderate Arab regimes” – Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates on the example of the EU or the Eurasian Economic Union to turn the Middle East into a single economic space . In turn, Minister of Foreign Affairs of Kazakhstan Yerlan Idrisov during their talks in Ankara supported the commencement of negotiations between the EAEC and Turkey to establish a free trade zone. As the Minister for EU Affairs Volkan Bozkır, Turkey came the moment when “the negotiati ons with the European Union can not continue in the format required by the EU.” The minister believes that “Brussels spends arrogant policy towards Ankara, and refusal to be accepted into the ranks of the EU will not bother the Turkish side».
In short, the Russian-Turkish alliance is already changing the balance of power in the Middle East, where Moscow and Ankara are playing their own “map”. The main thing now – to make the right moves, avoiding serious failures to translate the alliance between the two countries in an effective geopolitical cooperation.
Stanislav Tarasov – Editor in Chief of the Eastern version of IA REGNUM
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