Tuesday, May 24, 2016

Turkey will prepare Ukrainian Janissary – Free Press

President of Ukraine Poroshenko May 23, made a working visit to Turkey. Although officially Poroshenko arrived in Istanbul to attend the World Humanitarian Summit of the United Nations, he held and a meeting with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan , and in the official delegation included leaders banned in Russia, the Crimean Tatar Mejlis Mustafa Cemil , Lenur Islyamova and singer Jamal , which the UN humanitarian Forum have very little to do.

According to the Ukrainian president’s press service, during the meeting an agreement was reached with Erdogan that in the near future three thousand police officers from the “Square” will be trained in Turkey. Poroshenko said that this is “a very effective form of cooperation between police of the two countries”, and stressed that in the framework of the training program “Train and Equip” the police will be provided with the appropriate equipment

In addition, the presidents agreed on a number of other documents. – an agreement on mutual protection of investments, the agreement on avoidance of double taxation, and agreed to speed up negotiations on a free trade between countries

a week ago, on 16 May between the two countries was signed another important agreement areas -. signed an implementation plan for military cooperation Armed forces of Ukraine and the Republic of Turkey, “containing practical steps aimed at building operational capacity” APU. The plan defines the direction of military cooperation between the armed forces of the two countries up to 2020, including the reform and defense planning, education and training of troops, consultative and advisory assistance, and cooperation between the branches of the armed forces and so on. It is assumed that all of this will help Ukraine prepare to join NATO in 2020.

The relationship between Turkey and Ukraine have intensified sharply after the conflict between Ankara and Moscow over Russia downed aircraft. Since the autumn of 2015 high-ranking officials of Turkey and Ukraine is already several times had to make mutual visits. Poroshenko was in Ankara recently, in March, and is told “SP”, then the presidents of too much talk about military cooperation and free trade zone. In addition, 7 March were carried out joint tactical exercises of the Turkish and Ukrainian Navy in the Sea of ​​Marmara.

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As you can see, the contacts between the two countries is increasing. Moreover, the parties have put forward a new and very specific initiatives such as training Ukrainian police Turks and equip them with everything necessary. It is possible that the next step will be the training and equipment is already the Ukrainian military. Here only it is unlikely to have a positive impact on the already fragile situation in Ukraine, and, in addition, is unlikely to please the Western sponsors of Kiev. Why then will the growing Ukrainian-Turkish alliance

-? Turkey – a NATO member – like Leading Research Fellow, Center for Asian and African Studies, Higher School of Economics Alexei Samples . – No country can not create a block independent military alliances without the consent of the parent structure. Ukraine is not a member of NATO and is not even a candidate for accession. Therefore, all these plans – empty talk, as well as negotiations on a free trade zone. To create it, we need not only to those who are willing to sell something, but also those who are able to buy something. What Turkey is ready to buy from Ukraine and that Ukraine can buy in Turkey? This paper contracts that exist only in the speeches of officials

But as the police force -. It is essential, that is exactly what is needed Ukraine. This, of course, the irony. Now the whole European Union, the United States and other countries accuse Turkey of excessive use of force, punitive actions, stifling freedom of speech and so on. As you know, in practice, this is done without hands of officials or members of parliament and the security forces and security services, directly controlled by the President of Turkey. Now the Turks will prepare Ukrainian police. Such an agreement even more close to the Ukrainian way to Europe. In Brussels, a very “rejoice” that the clamping of the whole Turkish police learn the Ukrainian

«SP”: -. What Poroshenko took with him the leaders of the so-called Majlis

– There is no doubt, Turkey and Ukraine will now be in every way to inflate the Crimean Tatar problem. It has even come to the strange claims that the Crimean Tatar autonomy can be created on the territory of the Kherson region. And this despite the fact that it was Kiev liquidated at the time the Crimean autonomy. This political injection, and ace in the hole.

I think the statement on the establishment of the Crimean autonomy is Crimea without agreeing with the Turkish brothers Mejlis leaders would hardly have dared to do. It is the extras and the corps de ballet, which should create a permanent newsworthy. Ankara can maintain anything, but this is unlikely to acquire real features. For such declarations are not worth a real political project, but they need to give the news for real. Today, they say that is about to be returned to the Crimea, and tomorrow say they will create autonomy outside the peninsula. It perfectly demonstrates how “seriously” and worked alone, and another project. This is a common information chatter

«SP”: -. By the way, the UN does not bother that the humanitarian summit is used by some to solve their problems

– World Humanitarian? summit was conceived three years ago. And then it was a very good and sensible idea. But now, because of external circumstances and of the events he actually failed. From the leaders of influential countries were present only Merkel , and she does not seem to quite understand that doing there. At the artist role James Bond Daniel Craig , which also participated in the summit, as it turned out as a UN envoy, was more what to say than that of Merkel.

Head of Centre Asia and Middle East of the Russian Institute for strategic studies, Anna Glazov believes that the convergence of Ukraine and Turkey will continue

-. With regard to intensifying contacts between Kyiv and Ankara as a whole, this friendship is based on the presence of a common enemy Russia in the face and on the fact that between the two are converging political “loser.” From Erdogan already turns the European Union, because his behavior and statements that Turkey does not intend to perform requirements of the EU to bring its legislation into line with European standards, was the last straw of European leaders. They said that the agreement on the exchange of migrant workers will be called into question, and the introduction of visa-free regime from 1 June, as it was stated earlier, it is impossible. For Erdogan is very cool true American administration. Besides, he had already damaged relations with the majority of the Middle East, and now entered into a confrontation with Russia.

For Erdogan is extremely important in light of the enemy, which, he believes, is surrounded by Turkey, find at least one country, which can develop cooperation and to talk about the positive. That country was Ukraine, which, like Turkey, has a huge internal and external problems. I think that this convergence will continue in the future, but expect him to breakthroughs in terms of cooperation between the two countries is hardly possible. Although, if only because the two countries have very serious political internal crisis. In Ukraine this is a problem of Donbass, Turkey – Kurdish and internal opposition

«SP”: -. Can the parties to try to play the so-called “Crimean card»

-This is really a very dangerous trend. After Turkey has spoiled our relations with Russia, it has stepped up actions in Crimea. Actually, Ankara does not hide that he supports the Crimean radicals who oppose joining the peninsula to Russia. This is a serious threat, but I think, in order to stop this policy of Turkey, above all, will work our secret services.

Director of the Research Centre “Middle East, the Caucasus,” the International Institute of the newest states Stanislav Tarasov does not believe that the Turkish-Ukrainian alliance could pose a threat to Russia

-. It is an alliance with the blind lame. No one war, the Turkish army did not win. Now he is fighting against the Kurds, and lose this confrontation. The country, meanwhile, reign of terror, the police, intelligence and security services can not cope with it. What they can teach the Ukrainians?

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The countries resentful of Russia, such as Georgia, Azerbaijan, Ukraine, and now Turkey, is really trying to create among themselves a kind of alliance. Before that, they were grouped in Guam, in the Eastern Partnership. But this process of degradation of these states themselves increases. Turkey is now, like Ukraine, is on the verge of losing control over a part of its territory. But their hope that the West will isolate Russia, are not justified. No matter how bad our relationship evolved, we have a connection with the United States on the Syrian settlement and Karabakh. In addition, the work “Norman Quartet”, which yesterday reached an agreement on how to enter the police mission in Donbass. In fact, it means that Ukraine is forced to accept the loss of control over the Lugansk and Donetsk. At the same time, it strengthened the centrifugal tendencies in Dnepropetrovsk, Kharkov, Odessa areas.

So I do not think that the contacts between Turkey and Ukraine pose a threat to Russia. “Crimean card” to play had before, but Ukraine has missed this point. They can be a little “pobuzit” but nothing serious they do not shine, and the Turks also understand this. Similarly, it was Georgia, which lost control over Ossetia and Abkhazia. Such activity – it’s just annoying background, which is anti-Russian. Here are just a Russian, he is not particularly annoying. For all internal and external difficulties, it’s not a threat to our country.

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