April 13, 2016, 21:01 | MED | Ulyukayev | Macroeconomic Forecast
Economic Development Ministry submitted to the government revised its macroeconomic outlook for 2016 and the scenario conditions of economic development for 2017-2019 years. This was stated by head of department, Alexei Ulyukayev.
“We already have the scenario conditions, yesterday discussed this issue at a meeting with the Prime Minister, the forecast will be imposed on the government in the near future”, – quoted him as saying, “Interfax»
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The baseline scenario is suggested to calculate when the oil price of $ 40 in 2016, $ 45 in 2017 and $ 50 in 2018-2019. On assurance Ulyukayev, generally offers his supervised departments were supported.
According to Ulyukayev, in 2016 in the scenario of $ 40 per barrel is expected to decline in Russia’s GDP by 0.3%. In the scenario conditions of economic development for the years 2017-2019 laid the indexation of gas prices from July 1, 2017 3% and railway tariffs from 1 January 2017 4,5%.
“We are in favor of 3% indexation of gas prices. The FAS, as I understand, has no objection in principle to this. We are in the scenario conditions laid down 3%. According to Russian Railways laid 4.5% “, – he commented on proposals of the Ministry of tariffs and the position of the FAS that gas prices can be indexed by 4% in 2017.
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“We did not change anything compared to what was offered in 2017 to last year. These proposals are about the same “, – the minister said, commenting on the issue of tariffs of network companies
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As reported, previous proposals for indexation of tariffs for the years 2017-2018 have been formulated by the Ministry of the forecast entered in the government in October 2015.
In particular, gas tariffs for industry and population proposed index by 3% in 2017 and in 2018 (indexed gas is conducted from 1 July). Regulated tariffs of network organizations proposed index in 2017 by 7%, in 2018 – by 6.2% (as of July 1). Regulated tariffs for electricity for the population was offered to index from July 1, 2017 8%, c July 1, 2018 – by 7.2% (outpacing the growth of tariffs for the population in 2017-2018 aims to reduce the value of cross-subsidies in the electricity sector.). Tariffs for rail freight and passenger transportation planned index by 4.5% both on 1 January 2017, and from January 1, 2018.
Earlier, the federal official, speaking on condition of anonymity, told the media that the Ministry of Finance may recalculate the budget in 2016 in view of lower oil prices in the first quarter, after coordination with the Ministry of the macroeconomic forecast.
“In the first quarter,” – he replied to a question about when numbers can be specified in the parameters of the budget-2016
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