On the outskirts of London launched an international aerospace exhibition. Airshow in Farnborough, which is held every two years, is one of the largest exhibitions of aerospace industry in the world, competing on the volume of deals only with the French “Le Bourget”. This year at the London site represented about 1.5 thousand. Companies of aviation and space industry. Number of visitors in 2016 may reach 100 kDa people.
Despite the scale of the airshow, hardly show at Farnborough will be able to beat its main competitor – Air Show “Le Bourget”, which in deals were signed last year a total of $ 100 billion and even more so to beat your own record for the volume of transactions:. in 2014 on the “Farnborough” the total amount of the agreements amounted to more than $ 204 billion
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«Carriers are likely to slow down the process of signing new orders, restraining growth and postponing or canceling existing orders, – said the president of consulting the International Bureau of aviation Phil Seymour in conversation with a “bi-bi-si.” – Investors are concerned that some airlines expand their fleets too quickly »
« Manufacturers gained a volume of orders that consumers, airlines are not able to digest.. The market has corrected, “- explains the analyst of the Higher School of Economics Andrey Kramarenko
duopoly world’s two largest aircraft manufacturers, Boeing and the Airbus, continue.. They account for the bulk of the orders, which were announced in the first day of the air show, and are expected to conclude in the next few days.
India and China are buying planes
The greatest demand for aircraft manufacturers provide growing Asia Pacific region. Against the background of low energy prices and instability in world markets air carriers from other countries are in no hurry to renew their fleet. In Asia, meanwhile, there is an explosive growth in demand for passenger transport, due to the increase of welfare of the population
The main customers so far are the Asian loukostery:.
they are interested in purchasing energy-efficient aircraft, which will reduce costs and offer the lowest prices on the market
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So, the Chinese Xiamen Airlines signed a contract for the supply of 30 aircraft Boeing 737 Max. The transaction amount was not disclosed conventionally, but, based on the approximate list price of the aircraft, experts estimated it at $ 3.39 billion
A more successful day ended for the civilian wing of the European Airbus:. It has received an order from the Malaysian loukostera one of the largest airlines of the countries of Southeast Asia, AirAsia. The company has ordered 100 Airbus A320neo worth a total of $ 12.6 billion (according to Bloomberg sources, publications). The deal could be announced as early as July 12.
Airbus is negotiating the sale of 70 Airbus A320neo with the growing Indian airline Go Airlines. The deal is estimated at $ 7.5 billion.
Another Indian company SpiceJet, according to Bloomberg, is also planning to place a large-scale order of 100 aircraft, but has not yet chosen between the two global manufacturers. SpiceJet is discussing with Boeing, Airbus, and with a possible deal to buy 100 Boeing 737 or Airbus A320. The transaction value is estimated at $ 11-12 billion.
The world grows, Russia stands on the site
The two biggest aviation holding confident that in the long term, passenger traffic market will continue to grow. The Boeing forecast that the number of airline passengers is expected to increase by 4.8% on average, and the market demand for new aircraft in the period until 2035 will amount to 39.62 thousand. BC. This is 4.1% higher than the Boeing forecast last year
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The Airbus forecast more modest – growth of passenger traffic, according to experts of the European Group, will be 4.5% per year on average, and in the period until 2035 the market will need 33.07 thousand new BC with a capacity of more than 100 seats that. 1.4% higher than last year aviakontserna forecast.
The total capacity of the market to 2035 is estimated at $ 5 trillion (in the opinion of Airbus) and $ 5.9 trillion (according to Boeing).
The main demand will be in the single-aisle segment due to growth-loukosterov airlines, said in a Boeing report. The demand for such aircraft in the period until 2035 is estimated at 28.14 thousand. (According to the Boeing) and 23.5 thous. (By Airbus estimates). As already demonstrated the demand structure, growth driver will perform the Asia-Pacific region, and China became the biggest aviation market in the world.
The slowest growth, as in last year’s forecast is expected in Russia and CIS countries, as well as in Africa.
According to the report, Boeing, the CIS market demand for new aircraft remained at the previously forecasted level until 2035 1.15 thousand. units . a total of $ 170 billion A similar figure is expected in Africa
Russian sat in the tail
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The Russian companies are also represented at the air show in Farnborough, but it is unlikely they expect orders for the products of the domestic aviation industry. United Aircraft Corporation (UAC) will show in the Sukhoi Superjet-100 in Farnborough design configuration for a single customer is a European – Irish CityJet. Also on the stand of the KLA can be viewed on the MS-21 – short and medium aircraft, which, however, still does not fly – it rolled out took place in July this year. The first flight is scheduled in 2017.
«Nothing serious will not work:. Capacity of the Russian market has been reached, agreements have been concluded with all those with whom it is possible, and the market of domestic flights will not swallow any more. A Foreign Our planes do not really need – they have their own proven producers, “- says aviation expert from the Higher School of Economics Andrey Kramarenko
As for the MS-21, the next of intent memoranda deal is unlikely to advance.. “Take a plane, which is not yet, by the manufacturer, which they never did, a big risk. Foreign airlines first look at the results of operation of the MS-21, and then will decide, and before 2020, this is not exactly the time will come “, – concludes the analyst
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