Political scientist: “The resignation of Assad” – well-prepared information salvo against Moscow »- BFM.Ru

The Kremlin has denied Western media reports that Russia has offered Assad to step down. According to Associate Professor of political theory at MGIMO Kirill Koktysh, so the West intends to show that the Syrian president is the subject of trade relations with Russia

President Bashar al-Assad during a meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin in the Kremlin. Photo: Alexei Druzhinin / press-service of the Russian president / TASS

«Putin suggested Assad to resign,” – said the Financial Times. The Kremlin has denied this informtsiyu. According to the journalists, a few weeks before the death of the chief of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the General Staff Igor Sergun flew to Damascus on a delicate mission. He brought a message to Assad in which the Syrian leader the Kremlin promised strong international support, “believing that the Syrian president it was time to give up power».

Assad rejected the proposal. As journalists write, the information they gave two high-ranking representative of Western intelligence. Financial Times article published on the eve of the planned meeting between the Syrian authorities and the opposition.

At the same time the Pentagon chief Ashton Carter said that the coalition involves ground forces in the Syrian and Iraqi operations against LIH. Today, Fox News reported on concerns about the emergence of the United States to Syria another Russian base. US intelligence supposedly fixed congestion Russian engineering troops near the border with Turkey.

And another statement from US Secretary of State John Kerry assured that Minsk agreements can be made for several months, and immediately afterwards sanctions against Russia will be removed.

What is the reason the appearance of so many messages on the eve mezhsiriyskoy meeting in Geneva, discussed the leading Business FM Alexei Panteleyev and assistant professor of political theory at MGIMO Kirill Koktysh .

British newspaper appeared on the eve of a probable meeting in Geneva on the Syrian settlement. In your opinion, there is some link between the negotiations and the emergence of such information?

Kirill Koktysh : Of course there is. That is the question to shake the Syrian side to convince her that she is the subject of bargaining and not subject to negotiation, and that Moscow was just as well they will be ready to bargain as, indeed, the rest of the Western partners. That is, in this case, is a classic strategy – to share, and then manage. The goal is clear, the toolkit is also clear, but, in fact, the intricacies of the sources and mystification, which, again, in this report napuschena, she said that we are talking about well-prepared information salvo, that is an information war, but there is nothing to Anyway the other.

The Kremlin has repeatedly said, who should be the president of Syria – the case of the Syrian people. Later, by the way, was the statement that an element of stability in Syria – Assad. In your opinion, is theoretically in the Kremlin can such proposals do Assad will or not?

Kirill Koktysh : I think in the near future, this question will not go. The Kremlin may make suggestions on the timing of elections, and today, as I understand it, elections are planned a year and a half, then there is hope that the situation is more or less stabilized. But I think that to put forward suggestions as to who should rule and how to rule, it will diverge from the traditional strategy of Moscow. I have said that, since 2004, when they first sounded the thesis that Russia does not interfere in the internal affairs, but talking to those whom these countries have chosen, based on the fact that the financial, economic interests and national ownership will allow Russia to build relations with any national leader. I think this strategy is, of course, will not be sacrificed for the sake of political expediency, especially now that, in this case trying to bargain Assad – it undermines his own position in Syria. Of course, it will not.

Well, your predictions as there now is a situation to develop in the next few months, maybe a year?

Kirill Koktysh : I think that the Syrian army is slowly but quite confidently take control of the territories that were previously lost . The interaction between air and space forces of Russia and the ground forces of the Syrian turns out quite effective, so there is every chance that Syria is gradually regain control of their own borders.

Over all or major parts?

Kirill Koktysh : to I start talking about the important part, and then you can think about how to restore the sovereignty completely. In any case, the Turkish direction, I understand that the problem has already been solved for the most part, in other areas, this problem is solved. And do not forget all the same, that the presence of the Russian military presence in the presence of C-400, which it is deployed, I think that Syria is now a completely different weight class than it was three years ago, two years ago, in fact, when Assad was at the peak of the same weaknesses. That is, I think that the chances to restore full control of the border and increase its weight category, in general, even become a serious player in the Middle East, Assad is. It will not be very fast. That is, people are spared, moving slowly, but in any case, there is progress, and progress is measured and understood.