- Posted 22.12.2014 06:11
For the normalization of the economic situation and to avoid default , Ukraine will require an additional 15 billion. dollars. in 2015. According to the experts in the “TSN. Tyzhden” to stabilize the economy, the country will need to successfully implement reforms, declared the new government is unacceptable devaluation of the national currency, as well as the cornerstone of the survival of the Ukrainian economy yavyalyutsya IMF loans. In the absence of one of the components as a default will be inevitable.
The situation with respect to the dollar will largely depend on what course byudet been budgeted for 2015. According to preliminary data, it is 22 hryvnia for one dollar. But there is still a worst-case scenario in the 25 UAH. for dollars. Also on the course will influence the assistance of international financial institutions. In order to cover the needs of Ukraine for 2015 needs about 25 billion. Dollars. As we learned from a telephone conversation Poroshenko President and Director of the IMF that the IMF will provide a loan of $ 13 billion. Dollars. Poroshenko requested 15 billion. Dollars., But to get them the IMF should see that Ukraine fully complies with all requirements under the program Stand-By.
According to experts, the fall of the economy in 2015 will be 5 %, specifically unemployment reaches the level of 10%. In this regard, the government will cut back on benefits, and there is the possibility of increasing the retirement age.
The requirement on the part of lenders to increase tariffs for housing and communal services, may entail uveichenie water prices in 4 p. Food prices will continue to rise.
In addition, the war in the south-east every day costs 100 million. UAH.
December 22 expected new gossmeta. Again, if they do not carry out reforms, we can forget about international assistance. If the budget will populistsim, Ukraine inevitably face an economic disaster.
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