How to react to the ruble on the decision the European Central Bank – Russian Newspaper

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Boris Heifetz, chief researcher at the Institute of Economics, Russian Academy of Sciences

 

Today, the ruble will continue to strengthen against the dollar and the euro, but it is likely to slightly – to within a few tens of cents

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Many experts say that in recent years in the period from February to April is traditionally stronger ruble. This is due to various tax benefits and excise taxes, which always causes a rise in demand for rubles. This year, these factors added to the solution, which can take at the meeting of the European Central Bank (ECB) on 10 March. We are talking about reducing the rate and expanding asset repurchase program. In addition, the rates decision on March 16 to take the Fed, and on March 18 – the Bank of Russia

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As a result, many suggest, in March-April, it is worth considering that the strong ruble to buy the currency for a holiday.

 

In addition to these factors, of course, affect the growth of oil prices and their impact on the course is in the first place. However, the strong appreciation of the ruble count still not worth it, the national currency may rise to 65-70 rubles to the dollar, but it is very short term.

 

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Force majeure, however, may also be. Among them – political moments, for example, as well as all circumstances related to the sanctions. They can not so much impact on the course, but to hold the strengthening of the national currency may well be.

 

Meanwhile, yesterday the ruble within the index trades at session, the first after the holiday weekend, strengthened against the dollar and the euro against the background of rising in price of oil. Strengthening the national currency and continued to yesterday evening – oil tested the level of $ 41 per barrel, resulting in a US dollar exchange rate “pulled back” to the 71 ruble

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The official US dollar to the Russian ruble as of today, March 10, at the end of trading “Moscow Exchange” amounted to 72 rubles 38 kopecks (weakening by 80 kopecks). The euro, in turn, weakened by 67 cents and was 79 rubles 45 kopecks per unit of currency of the Old World.