The experts responded to the question “MC” that will get warm if the DNI and LC
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According to the Minsk Agreement, the war in the Donbas must stop. Only for this we need not only the removal of heavy artillery, but also economic understanding. The latter is not observed. Moreover, the situation with disabling Donetsk and Lugansk republics of the gas is heated. Vladimir Putin compared him with genocide. The president noted that no violations of the gas contract with Ukraine on the part of “Gazprom” is not. The head of the Russian oil company Alexei Miller sent a letter to his Ukrainian counterpart – the chairman of the Board of “Naftogaz”. The document says that the current volume of deliveries to Ukraine prepaid gas will last about three days. In addition, Miller asked to confirm voiced “Naftogaz” condition to prepay in case of termination of supplies to the DNI and LC. Is there a way to resolve the situation – “MK” asked leading experts.
Photo: AP
– What are the causes shutdown of the DNI and LC gas?
Sergei Pikin, director of the Foundation Energy Development:
– It is difficult to answer this question. Ukrainian authorities to explain this technical problems, but without the policy has not done. Measures of economic impact are practically exhausted. Therefore, here are tied and technical and political reasons. If there was a desire not to disable the DNI and the LC of gas supply and establish economic dialogue, Kiev would have found an opportunity to do it. The pipe, which according to Kiev, now allegedly faulty, not the only one. Let the gas could be, and the other way.
Smooth-Maxim Rodionov, CEO of “Confidence»:
– True tripping cause no one but is disabled, does not know. One can only assume that Kiev says – once DNR and LC do not consider themselves part of Ukraine means not entitled to rely on the supply of gas. Or maybe considered an incentive trip for a ceasefire and the implementation of militias Minsk Agreement. But again, all this is speculation, no more.
Vadim Tkachenko, a partner group of companies vvCube:
– The reason is very simple – the Ukrainian government believes that it thus sponsoring terrorist organizations that can use this gas, including for military purposes against the integrity of Ukraine. What some today call genocide, for the Government of SD is the preservation of the country with the following arguments: those who remain on the territory of Donetsk and Luhansk region – either the rebels or their supporters. Ukraine is ready to give refugees from these areas all conditions for living. While agreeing that there is in the territory of civilians who, for whatever reason, can not leave the areas of armed conflict, Ukraine declares that on the territory of Donetsk and Lugansk have a large number of coal reserves which are heated most of the buildings. Finally, the Government UR hopes that this situation will not last long and the resumption of gas supplies to happen in a few months.
Ani lace, financial analyst Lionstone Investment Services:
– Kiev reported that the cessation of gas supply to the LC and the DNI is due to technical failure. Today, however, some experts have questioned the official version of the Ukrainian capital. Disconnection of gas in the territory of the LC and DNR – a clear violation of the Minsk agreements, which, by the way, refers to a comprehensive financial and banking assistance Donetsk and Lugansk regions. One of the main causes of the incident can be called catastrophic economic situation in Ukraine. It’s no secret that Ukraine has long been teetering on the brink of default, and the hryvnia daily updates historical lows against the dollar. Representatives of the People’s Republic of Donetsk said that while there is in the Donbass domestic gas reserves, and therefore have the opportunity to wait for humanitarian aid from the Ministry of Energy and “Gazprom”. One can not deny the fact that Kiev is probably not eager to deliver gas unrecognized re publics, which only formally part of the Ukraine. It is possible that the Ukrainian authorities as time and rely on humanitarian aid from Russia.
Anna Bodrov, a senior analyst “Alpari»:
– It is natural that in the gas outage DNR and LC is clearly visible political trail. So it was in the summer with the supply of water and electricity in the Crimea, Kiev is very fond of these uncontested moves with a lot of negative consequences. It is believed that supply will last for 3-6 days, the situation will continue to deteriorate. Ukraine could go the diplomatic track and share payments for gas, but the goal here is one: how can you punish harder southeast.
– indeed, whether that at the current volume of deliveries to Ukraine prepaid gas will last about three days?
Maxim Smooth-Rodionov , General Director of “Confidence»:
– Watching how to count. If the information Naftogaz that “Gazprom” does not fulfill the condition in terms of delivery, the truth, then it is likely that the prepayment will be enough for a longer period. Statement of the three days there was, most likely, simply based on the fact that February ends after three days and prepaid March no. The purpose of such statements – to sow panic, especially in the EU.
Sergei Pikin , Director of the Energy Development Fund:
– Yes, it is. I was even surprised by the figure of three days since yesterday said about two. Maybe just was understated application of Kiev on the gas supply. Previously, it was about 200 million cubic meters. m.
Vadim Tkachenko , a partner group of companies vvCube:
– Supply enough for one week maximum, but the situation is not critical because supply disruptions were so. In any case, the responsibility for the lack of heat and homes Government ur responsibility of the local authorities.
– What is the way out?
Sergei Pikin , Director of the Energy Development Fund:
– The only way to resolve the situation for Kiev – is to pay an advance for the next month.
Maxim Smooth-Rodionov , General Director of “Confidence»:
– I think one way to solve here, is the one that offers the European Commission – share the delivery and payment. Without separate accounting is unlikely to resolve this issue.
Vadim Tkachenko , a partner group of companies vvCube:
– I think The situation should be resolved successfully, despite such tough rhetoric around it. Because it’s one more trump card in the negotiations with Ukraine and DNR LC.
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