The number of officially registered unemployed the second consecutive week is reduced by 0.5%, the message says the Ministry of Labour. As of May 20, this figure was 1 million 3 thousand. 593 people. During the period from 13 to 20 May it fell in 57 and rose in 25 regions, and in three – Saratov, Samara and Rostov regions – has not changed.
During the same period there was a decrease in the number of working mode part-time employment by 7.7% and the increase in the number of vacancies declared by employers to the employment service.
Since the beginning of the year, unemployment, according to Rosstat, rose from 5.5% in January to a high of 5.9% in March.
«The labor market took a stabilization, or is about to take place”, – said the deputy director of the Center for Labor Studies HSE Rostislav Kapelyushnikov. The expert said that the dynamics of latching normal seasonal pattern, but before that for several months he was broken.
«This means that now the seasonal influence was stronger than the crisis tendencies. That is, the factors that have pushed for the reduction of employment, hiring freeze, expire, and the usual seasonal factors are beginning to play a major role and determine the pattern of movement in unemployment rates, “- explains Kapelyushnikov.
« The activity of employers commit to a particular level: it is lower than last year, but the negative dynamics come to nothing, “- agrees director of research recruitment portal HeadHunter Gleb Lebedev. He explains that the labor market is not only reflects an objective situation in the economy, but also takes into account the mood: “Positive news of a general nature, such as the improvement of forecasts for a drop in Russian GDP by several companies that contribute to stabilization. If in March or early April, the market was attended by negative sentiment and the company implement a plan to optimize the number of personnel, by the end of the first quarter, short Ativ costs, they saw that global problems are not present, the business operates further reduce people not economically feasible. “
Lebedev said that to make the findings of the above statistics should be with caution. The first season is now passive and it is important how the situation will develop in the fall: it is the dynamics in the high season will determine the behavior of the market in the future.
«We are also seeing a revival in the market. Many companies are looking at the first quarter, as a kind of trial period, in order to understand and assess the situation. The first quarter has passed, the company saw a fairly steady growth, or at least, not stagnation. Therefore unfreeze a certain amount of jobs: they are mainly associated with a strong growth and the company’s strategic plan, aimed at the conquest of the market, the opening of new offices, departments, “- says managing partner at headhunting company” Agency Contact “Marina Tarnopolskaya.
The number of vacancies that have been associated with the replacement of employees with more effective, with fiat rates, according to her, remained at the same level. “Therefore, the statistics can be confirmed, but it should not be interpreted in the spirit of” all fine and good. ” Mechanism is triggered pent-up demand: the entire fourth quarter of 2014 and the first quarter of this year, the company delayed hiring, to assess the situation and the moment came when without these positions and the closing of these positions continue to evolve hard – even in low-key program. So what we are seeing now surge, but it can be replaced by a contraction in the third quarter, “- she warns.
According to Oleg Tkachenko, head of the industrial practice of recruiting company Hays in Russia, the labor market is also starting to affect campaign import substitution and the start of large national investment projects, such as “Power of Siberia.”
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