Can  our relationship suddenly return to the previous  level of partnership and unprecedented confidence  
    Today, at 15:49, views:  225   
  
  Photo: kremlin.ru 
        Since 2010, when there was a Turkish-Israeli  incident with the ship so-called peace flotilla to  an official apology of Prime Minister Netanyahu  took three years to Turkey . Three years it took  the parties to officially announce the signing of  an agreement on normalization of relations.  Against the background of these six-year ordeal,  the process of normalization of Russian-Turkish  crisis, the ongoing “some” seven  months, started with cosmic speed. 
   The mere fact that a telephone conversation  took place on the initiative of the Russian side  after months radiotishiny already was read  clearly: the message of the President of June 27,  Erdogan made in the Kremlin as an official apology  to Turkey to Russia. But the result  sorokapyatiminutnoe conversation has surpassed all  imaginable expectations – even before the  press secretary Peskov pointed out that a rapid  return to the old format of relations should not  expect and the process should take place in  stages, and just a day later, President Putin  instructed the government to start the procedure  of normalization of trade and economic relations  as a whole, including tourism. To plan for  unfreezing the Turkish direction does not become a  hindrance even produced on the eve of the attack  in Istanbul’s airport that killed over 40  people and has become one of the largest in the  history of the world. 
   Let me remind you that the cancellation of  charter posts and ban the sale of tours at the end  of last year, accompanied by a commentary by the  Russian Foreign Ministry that Turkey supports  terrorism and travel back to the Russian citizens  are not safe. last year statistics fully confirm  this: only in the last 12 months, the number of  civilian casualties, both Turks and foreigners, as  a result of terrorist attacks nearer to 250, not  to mention the wounded. If you add the losses  among the Turkish military, the figure will  increase even at times, and at the order of 
   However, the expression “figures –  are stubborn things.” Overawed  Erdogan’s assurances came during talks with  Putin about “Turkey will make every effort  to ensure the security of Russian citizens.”  And, of course, before it brought by the Turkish  side of apology that around it turns out, it  turned out to be such, what they expect to see the  Russian side. 
   It would be simplicity to believe that the  language not previously been discussed and agreed  upon by diplomats both sides. Statement Peskov,  Turkologist by training, the lack of philological  subtleties in the text is the main proof of that.  But it also, inexorably, begs the question: so it  turns out that President Erdogan, political credo  that “no retreat, no surrender!”,  Giving the Russian side clearly reads a letter of  apology, made a risky move in the eyes of their  voters in the Russian name -Turkish friendship?  Not at all: everything points to the fact that the  Turkish government not only is not going to lose  face in the reconciliation with Russia, but was  determined to score points 
   So what was going on.? It is necessary to  immediately make a reservation, that the search  for an answer to this question is not intended to  belittle or achievement of Russian diplomacy, not  the step that made the Turkish leadership to  Russia. 
   To begin with doubts, if they are someone and  there are: Russian and Turkish versions of the  letters on the Kremlin website and the Turkish  Presidential administration are fully consistent  with each other. Highlight key phrase, and read it  in the words and syllables: “I want to once  again express their sympathy and deepest  condolences to the family of the deceased Russian  pilot and say sorry. With all my heart I share  their pain. Seven Russian pilot we perceive as a  Turkish family. In the name of the relief of pain  and the severity of the damage we are ready for  any initiative »
   Let’s start with the first level of  analysis:.” Who “and” what,  “said the word” sorry “? Message  to the President of Russian Federation Vladimir  Putin signed the address of the first person of  the Republic of Turkey, President Recep Tayyip  Erdogan, in connection with the death of the  Russian pilot. 
   Next to whom the apology? The family of the  deceased pilot, Hero of Russia Oleg Peshkov, and  rightly so. Who is not in close, to ask for  forgiveness … 
   But there is a subtlety that can be  illustrated by the example of how in 2013,  apologized to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin  Netanyahu for the deaths of Turkish citizens  – participants “Peace  Flotilla”:. “I apologize to the  Turkish people for every mistake, which led to the  victims» 
   Here, too, not without nuances in the  construction of sentences, but the fundamental  difference is that in one case we are talking  about the level of “the people” and,  it turns out, the “country”. Although  the flag under which the ship was going, was not  Turkish, and Comorian. In the case of Russian  aircraft, whose membership was the Turkish Air  Force is well known, the letter refers only to the  personal tragedy of the family of one of the two  dead Russian soldiers, against which the Turkish  president and said, “I’m sorry». 
   That is, Turkish side, addressing his apology  to the family of Peshkov, did not respond to made  after the incident and repeatedly repeated by  President Putin qualified the incident as  “aggression” and “knife in the  back” of Russia, with which up to 24  November 2015 in Turkey, despite the differences,  had a relationship strategic partnership. 
   With the payment situation is even more  uncertain. In a letter to Erdogan referred to  certain “initiatives”, while the Prime  Minister of Turkey B.Yyldyrym first speaks of  willingness to pay, and a day later takes his own  words back. However, the Russian side is not only  itself a payment, but also his  “appointment” should be crucial. For  postscript “compensation for / knit /  airplane” would automatically mean the legal  recognition of Turkey that the Su-24 shot was  fired illegally, in violation of the rules. 
   As far as the third Russian demands concerning  punishment the perpetrators of the incident, it is  questionable how satisfactory should be for the  Russian side made the Turks efforts to appoint  “duty scapegoats” for Celik incident?  
   If you look deeper, the word, or rather, an  expression that eating Turkish letter to the  Russian side, really means “excuse me”  and includes the recognition of involvement in the  incident. But the range of its use varies from a  minimum of misconduct to the faults of average  weight, so to speak, and is more suitable for  informal apology ritual character. But this, of  course, a nuance that inevitably dissolves when  translated into the Russian language. 
   No less important than the message itself, is  something with which statements were made, the  Turkish side in the local media directly before  sending an apology and especially . the evening of  June 27, when the Kremlin’s website appeared  to mark his receipt 
   The essence of what is said “to”  leadership of Turkey, can be reduced to a simple  formula: “we are sorry, but do not  apologize.” If we talk about the  “after” that, speaking at his  residence “Aksaray”, and commenting on  the resumption of dialogue with Russia, President  Erdogan used the only word “regret”.  “Apologies” completely absent in his  rhetoric, and on-screen design of the television  images of local news. Furthermore, although the  Russian theme sounded in the evening speech  Erdogan last and looked like a dot at the end, but  it is clearly lost on the background of a large  Turkish diplomatic victory over Israel, which is  the characteristic coincidence, on the same day,  finally agreed with all the requirements of the  Turkish hand – an apology, compensation and  with the lifting of the blockade of the Gaza  Strip. And the same Turkey has made a bold move in  the direction of Russia, which demanded that the  Turkish President Erdogan as “wisdom”  and “personal courage” policy, not  afraid of being accused of weakness. 
   Why do we do with all this we understand,  after normalization launched and the two peoples  fit to breathe a sigh of relief? 
   Yes, then, that burned on the Su-24, can not  be too overzealous in that, very clear  understanding of its neighbor and motives driving  them, thus to eliminate or at least minimize the  likelihood of recurrence of the incident. And the  motives of the Turkish President Erdogan, a very  experienced politician, exclusively pragmatic  properties and lack of emotional components. 
   First, finally collapsed Turkey’s  foreign policy of “zero problems with  neighbors” has recently changed course on  “reducing the number of enemies. ”  And, as stated, for Russia and Israel in the near  future be followed by reconciliation with Egypt  and personally with President Gen. al-Sisi 
   Next:. Turkey, the blood from his nose, it is  necessary to solve the Kurdish problem, which is  impossible ., when the crisis in the yard with  Russia and it is no progress in Syria 
   and the last fact lies in the economic plane:  Turkish exports compete with the tourism industry  of the country in terms of incidence. A program  “rossiyanozamescheniya” Turks thing  malorealizuemaya – on a variety of  attributes best customers than Russia, find  impossible 
   The resolution of all these difficulties  should eventually emerge in a long time already  lobbied President Erdogan transition from a  parliamentary to a presidential form. government  in the country, and this year. 
   expressed conviction that the Russian side is  perfectly aware of the ambiguity in the Turkish  apology, and the motivation that drives the  Turkish leadership and personally President  Erdogan. But, nevertheless, goes to the  normalization of relations, obviously pursuing its  agenda, which is not today or tomorrow, one way or  another, will start to show 
   And here lies a fundamental question. Can our  relationship survived the ordeal , with a wave of  a handset suddenly return to the previous level of  comprehensive strategic partnership and an  unprecedented confidence? Or co-operation will be  based selectively on the principle of «a la  carte», in separate spheres of politics and  economics, and on individual projects, such as  “Akkuyu” or “Turkish  Stream”? Despite the euphoria reigned on  both sides of the Black Sea after a telephone  conversation Russian President Vladimir Putin and  the President of the Republic of Turkey and  Erdogan made a statement on comprehensive  normalization, I would not be in a hurry with any  final conclusions on this subject, the a  fundamental contradiction that Syria and  personally by President Bashar al-Assad is still  there, where his left hand after breaking November  24, 2015 … 
  
